By Bill Gates, 13 November 2017
In
every part of the world, people are living longer than they used to. Thanks to
scientific advancements, fewer people die young from heart disease, cancer, and
infectious diseases. It’s no longer unusual for a person to live well into
their 80s and beyond. My dad will celebrate his 92nd birthday in a couple
weeks, a milestone that was practically unimaginable when he was born.
This
fact—that people are living longer than ever before—should always be a
wonderful thing. But what happens when it’s not?
The
longer you live, the more likely you are to develop a chronic condition. Your
risk of getting arthritis, Parkinson’s, or another non-infectious disease that
diminishes your quality of life increases with each year. But of all the
disorders that plague us late in life, one stands out as a particularly big
threat to society: Alzheimer’s disease.
You
have a nearly 50 percent chance of developing the disease if you live into your
mid-80s. It is the only cause of death in the top 10 without any meaningful
treatments that becomes more prevalent each year. That trend will likely
continue as baby boomers age, which means that more families will watch their
loved ones suffer from cognitive decline and slowly disappear. Despite this
growing burden, scientists have yet to figure out what exactly causes
Alzheimer’s or how to stop the disease from destroying the brain.
I
first became interested in Alzheimer’s because of its costs—both emotional and
economic—to families and healthcare systems. The financial burden of the
disease is much easier to quantify. A person with Alzheimer’s or another form
of dementia spends five times more every year out-of-pocket on healthcare than
a senior without a neurodegenerative condition. Unlike those with many chronic
diseases, people with Alzheimer’s incur long-term care costs as well as direct
medical expenses. If you get the disease in your 60s or 70s, you might require
expensive care for decades.
These
costs represent one of the fastest growing burdens on healthcare systems in
developed countries. According to the Alzheimer’s Association, Americans will
spend $259 billion caring for those with Alzheimer’s and other dementias in
2017. Absent a major breakthrough, expenditures will continue to squeeze
healthcare budgets in the years and decades to come. This is something that
governments all over the world need to be thinking about, including in low- and
middle-income countries where life expectancies are catching up to the global
average and the number of people with dementia is on the rise.
The human cost of Alzheimer’s is much
more difficult to put into numbers. It’s a terrible disease that devastates
both those who have it and their loved ones. This is something I know a lot
about, because men in my family have suffered from Alzheimer’s. I know how
awful it is to watch people you love struggle as the disease robs them of their
mental capacity, and there is nothing you can do about it. It feels a lot like
you’re experiencing a gradual death of the person that you knew.
My
family history isn’t the sole reason behind my interest in Alzheimer’s. But my
personal experience has exposed me to how hopeless it feels when you or a loved
one gets the disease. We’ve seen scientific innovation turn once-guaranteed
killers like HIV into chronic illnesses that can be held in check with
medication. I believe we can do the same (or better) with Alzheimer’s.
I’ve
spent considerable time over the last year learning about the disease and the
progress made to date. There’s a lot of amazing work being done in this field
to delay Alzheimer’s and reduce its cognitive impact. What I’ve heard from
researchers, academics, funders, and industry experts makes me hopeful that we
can substantially alter the course of Alzheimer’s if we make progress in five
areas:
· We
need to better understand how Alzheimer’s unfolds. The brain is a complicated organ. Because it’s so difficult to study while patients are alive, we know
very little about how it ages normally and how Alzheimer’s disrupts that process.
Our understanding of what happens in the brain is based largely on autopsies,
which show only the late stages of the disease and don’t explain many of its
lingering mysteries. For example, we don’t fully understand why you are more
likely to get Alzheimer’s if you’re African American or Latino than if you’re
white. If we’re going to make progress, we need a better grasp on its
underlying causes and biology.
· We
need to detect and diagnose Alzheimer’s earlier. Since the only way to diagnose
Alzheimer’s definitively is through an autopsy after death, it’s difficult to
identify the disease definitively early in its progression. Cognitive tests
exist but often have a high variance. If you didn’t sleep well the night
before, that might skew your results. A more reliable, affordable, and
accessible diagnostic—such as a blood test—would make it easier to see how
Alzheimer’s progresses and track how effective new drugs are.
· We
need to better understand how Alzheimer’s unfolds. The brain is a complicated
organ. Because it’s so difficult to study while patients are alive, we know
very little about how it ages normally and how Alzheimer’s disrupts that process.
Our understanding of what happens in the brain is based largely on autopsies,
which show only the late stages of the disease and don’t explain many of its
lingering mysteries. For example, we don’t fully understand why you are more
likely to get Alzheimer’s if you’re African American or Latino than if you’re
white. If we’re going to make progress, we need a better grasp on its
underlying causes and biology.
· We
need to make it easier to get people enrolled in clinical trials. The pace of
innovation is partly determined by how quickly we can do clinical trials. Since
we don’t yet have a good understanding of the disease or a reliable diagnostic,
it’s difficult to find qualified people early enough in the disease’s
progression willing to participate. It can sometimes take years to enroll
enough patients. If we could develop a process to pre-qualify participants and
create efficient registries, we could start new trials more quickly.
· We
need to use data better. Every time a pharmaceutical company or a research lab
does a study, they gather lots of information. We should compile this data in a
common form, so that we get a better sense of how the disease progresses, how
that progression is determined by gender and age, and how genetics determines
your likelihood of getting Alzheimer’s. This would make it easier for researchers
to look for patterns and identify new pathways for treatment.
By
improving in each of these areas, I think we can develop an intervention that
drastically reduces the impact of Alzheimer’s. There are plenty of reasons to
be optimistic about our chances: our understanding of the brain and the disease
is advancing a great deal. We’re already making progress—but we need to do
more.
I
want to support the brilliant minds doing this work. As a first step, I’ve
invested $50 million in the Dementia Discovery Fund—a private fund working to
diversify the clinical pipeline and identify new targets for treatment. Most of
the major pharmaceutical companies continue to pursue the amyloid and tau
pathways. DDF complements their work by supporting startups as they explore
less mainstream approaches to treating dementia.
I’m
making this investment on my own, not through the foundation. The first
Alzheimer’s treatments might not come to fruition for another decade or more,
and they will be very expensive at first. Once that day comes, our foundation
might look at how we can expand access in poor countries.
But
before we can even begin to think about how we do that, we need lots of
scientific breakthroughs. With all of the new tools and theories in
development, I believe we are at a turning point in Alzheimer’s R&D. Now is
the right time to accelerate that progress before the major costs hit countries
that can’t afford high priced therapies and where exposure to the kind of
budget implications of an Alzheimer’s epidemic could bankrupt health systems.
This
is a frontier where we can dramatically improve human life. It’s a miracle that
people are living so much longer, but longer life expectancies alone are not
enough. People should be able to enjoy their later years—and we need a
breakthrough in Alzheimer’s to fulfill that. I’m excited to join the fight and
can’t wait to see what happens next.
(Source: GatesNotes Insider)
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